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Robust Newsvendor Problem in Global Market: Stable Operation Strategy for a Two-Market Stochastic System

Yan, Xiaoli

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The global markets provide enterprises with selling opportunities and challenges in stabilizing operational strategies. From the perspective of production management, it is important to improve the profitability of an enterprise by exploiting the different timing of the selling season in different markets to develop an operational strategy that is optimized and configured on a global scale. This paper examines the above issue with an insightful model of selling the product to two markets (a primary and a secondary market) with multiple risks of changes in the market environment and nonoverlapping selling seasons. We refer to this problem as the "global robust newsvendor" problem. We provide closed-form solutions of the optimal operation strategy for demand-independent and demand-related scenarios for the above two market stochastic systems. The closed-form solutions fully reflect the influence of the relationship between supply and demand on strategy selection. We find that the demand correlation and the lack of demand information will not substantially affect the operation strategy, and the enterprise's industrial chain and supply chain remain stable. However, the reduction of inter-market tariffs or logistics costs will cause changes, and the existence of the secondary market will lead to more capacity planning in the primary market. In addition, our model explicitly considers the impact of exchange rate uncertainty on operating strategies.


3 Ways AI and Robotic Process Automation Will Improve Life Settlement Transactions ThinkAdvisor

#artificialintelligence

The U.S. life insurance industry is beginning to understand the vast potential benefits of robotic process automation (RPA) and artificial intelligence (AI). These two related breakthrough technological innovations leverage the power of machine learning to increase productivity and reduce the risks associated with human error. Of course, many professionals in our industry find the names of these technologies unappealing, prompting skepticism from the outset. These reactions are often rooted in fear of the unknown, apprehension that is unnecessary once we understand the essence of the technologies. RPA and AI are often used in tandem to complete a transaction and are currently utilized in many customer servicer interactions we encounter daily.


Predicting Peer-to-Peer Loan Rates Using Bayesian Non-Linear Regression

Bitvai, Zsolt (University of Sheffield) | Cohn, Trevor (University of Melbourne)

AAAI Conferences

Peer-to-peer lending is a new highly liquid market for debt, which is rapidly growing in popularity. Here we consider modelling market rates, developing a non-linear Gaussian Process regression method which incorporates both structured data and unstructured text from the loan application. We show that the peer-to-peer market is predictable, and identify a small set of key factors with high predictive power. Our approach outperforms baseline methods for predicting market rates, and generates substantial profit in a trading simulation.